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The rate of increase for 1907-8 is much below the average.
The Registrar General's estimate of the population of Hornsey
at the middle of 1908 is 92,713. This estimate is based on the
assumption that the rate of increase of population since the last
census (1901) is the same as the rate of increase between that
census and the preceding one (1891). This method, while fairly
accurate in older towns, where the conditions are fairly constant,
does not answer so well in the case of suburban areas.
Last year there was little difference between the two estimates,
but this year the Registrar General's estimate is 1,899
higher than the estimate based on the number of occupied houses.
The estimated population at the end of each Quarter of 1908
was as follows:—
End of first quarter 90,865
„ second „ 90,347
„ third „ 90,570
„ fourth „ 90,880
The population of the Borough at the census (1901) was
72,056. The increase of population during the years from the
date of the census to the middle of 1908 is, therefore, 18,758.
This is equal to an annual average increase of 2,587.
The increase for the year 1907-8 is little more than one-fifth
of the average annual increase of recent years.
The "natural increase" of population during the year 1908,
i.e., excess of births over deaths, was 752, and as the actual increase
is only 593 it is evident that the tide of immigration and
emigration has for once resulted in a loss to Hornsey.
This is the first time that the actual increase of population
has fallen below what is called the "natural increase."
During most recent years there has been a large influx of
newcomers from other districts, particularly in 1903-4 and in
1906-7.