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This gives a total estimated increase of population since the middle of
1903 of 555.
The estimation has been made according to the method used by
the Registrar-General, and is based on the supposition that the rate of
increase that took place between the census of 1891 and that of 1901
will be maintained in the following years. This method is fairly accurate
in places where there is little or no development going on, where there
are few new houses erected each year, and where the increase of population
is due only to the normal excess of births over deaths. It makes no
allowance for an increase such has undoubtedly taken place in this
district during recent years, due to the development of hitherto unoccupied
building.sites.
Mr. H. J. Baker, the Clerk to the Council, has made an estimation
of the population at the middle of the year 1904, based on the number
of occupied houses, and the average number of inhabitants in each, and
calculates that the number of the population is 34,275.
Mr. Baker's estimate is probably nearer the correct figure than the
mathematical estimate, but it is of course impossible to verify either
without an actual census.
Assuming that the population is 34275 and not 32630, the birth.rate
would be reduced from 32.3 to 30.8, and the death.rate from 16.8 to
16.04. The infantile mortality rate would be unaltered, because it is
calculated on actual births and infant death, and not on any estimated
figures.