London's Pulse: Medical Officer of Health reports 1848-1972

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Shoreditch 1900

[Report of the Medical Officer of Health for Shoreditch]

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The numbers of certificates of cases of scarlet fever received daily from April 1st to the end of May are as set out below:—

April 1April 21May 118
„ 2„ 22„ 129
„ 31„ 23„ 13
„ 4„ 24„ 144
„ 5„ 251„ 153
„ 6„ 26„ 162
„ 7„ 272„ 173
„ 8„ 28,, 185
„ 91„ 291„ 196
„ 10„ 3011„ 20
,, 11May 115„ 215
„ 12„ 29„ 221
„ 13„ 312„ 234
„ 14„ 410„ 214
„ 153„ 519„ 251
,, 16„ 6„ 269
„ 171„ 722„ 27
„ 18,, 815„ 28
„ 19„ 914„ 293
„ 20„ 1017„ 305
„ 313

In the subjoined table are contained the numbers of cases according to the dates on the certificates certified each day from April 25th to May 31st.

April 251May 915May 211
262„ 108„ 223
„ 298„ 115„ 234
,, 3010„ 126„ 242
May 119„ 135„ 254
„ 211„ 142„ 261
„ 315„ 154„ 274
„ 46„ 161„ 284
„ 55„ 174„ 291
„ 614„ 184„ 304
,, 722,, 193„ 312
„ 818„ 205

The above tables show that after May 10th there was a very marked reduction
in the numbers of cases certified. Taking into consideration the incubation
period of scarlet fever, which varies from one day to a week, the illness in most
cases beginning between the second and fourth day after infection, if the milk
suspeoted was conveying the infection, on or about the eleventh of May there
should be a reduction in the number of certificates received, in view of the fact
that the milk was stormed on Mav 3rd.
Inasmuch, however, as the dates on
which the certificates were received, and the cases certified, were frequently
several days subsequent to the dates of the beginning of the attacks , in order to
get a clear idea of the association of the stoppage of the suspected milk with the
decline in the numbers of the cases, the dates of the beginning of the illnesses have
been tabulated, and the results are as set forth in the following table: