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85
This gives an Estate population of 30,060, of which population
there were, under one year of age 1,060 ; under 15 years 16,460.
and 5 to 14, 11,060.
These figures can now he compared with those obtained from
other sources :—
(a) From birth rates, actual population under one year of age,
1,030 ; hypothetical figure, 1,000.
(b) School population.
Number of children actually on register 10,000, of which
1,700 were children not from the Estate, leaving 8,300
Estate children. At this time, however, it was known
that there were many hundreds of children for whom
there were no vacancies at school. Hypothetical school
population 11,000.
(c) London County Council census.
The last local census showed that there were 18,900
children under 15 years of age in a total population of
40,000, i.e., children under 15 formed 47% of the
population. In this calculated population there arc 16,460
children under 15 in a population of 36,060, being 45%
of the total. The normal distribution is only 25%.
(d) Population per house.
The population of 36,060 divided by the mid-year number
of houses, viz., 7,300, gives a population per house of
4.94, a figure agreeing fairly with that obtained from
other sources.
A similar calculation for the year 1928 gives comparable
results. The 81 local deaths occurring in age-group 25/44 should
occur in a population with a normal age distribution with the deathrate
for that year of 11.5 of 65,000. Applying the same factors
to the separate age-groups would give the following as the distribution
of the Estate population for 1928 :—
Under 1 year, 1,400; 1/14, 20,150; 15/24, 4,750; 25/44,
19,430 ; 45/49, 1,340 ; over 50, 1,450.
In this total population of 48,520 those of ages 5 to 14 numberd
14,500.
Applying the same checks as previously ;—
(a) Birth rate, actual 1,500; estimated number 1,400.