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5
tion of expected numbers of age group 15 to 25. Similar
checks as applied before confirm the accuracy of this allocation.
For instance, the number of individuals under one year in a
normally distributed population of this size, would be 1,120.
The assumed distribution gives 1,850, whereas the actual number
of births registered was 1,792. Again the children of
school age in a normally distributed population would be 1,120.
The theoretical number is 1,850, whereas actually at the midyear
there were 1,650 at school. Further, the last L.C.C. census
of the Estate shewed that 47% of the population were under
15. In the assumed distribution this number is 46% as compared
with the normal of 25%.
These unusual conditions result in the work in connection
with the Maternity and Child Welfare, and School Services
and also the incidence of infectious diseases in this area being
equal to that of an area whose population is from one-fourth
to one-third greater.
I desire to thank the members of the Council and administrative
staff for the help they have given me in the past year.
I have the honour to be,
Mr. Chairman, Ladies and Gentlemen,
Your obedient servant,
E. W. CARYL THOMAS.
Health Offices,
Becontree Avenue,
Chadwell Heath.
29th May, 1929.