London's Pulse: Medical Officer of Health reports 1848-1972

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London County Council 1951

[Report of the Medical Officer of Health for London County Council]

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24
1951 represents the rising and falling stages of one continuous epidemic with its peak
at the turn of the year. During 1951 there were 21 deaths giving a death-rate of
0-006 per 1,000 (crude case mortality 0.20 per cent.). The corresponding rates for
1950 were 0.009 per 1,000 and 0.28 per cent. It is seen from Table 3 that the fatality
from this disease which has been declining since the end of the last century has
fallen with dramatic rapidity in more recent times.
The relative importance of school, home arid other forms of contact in the spread of
whooping cough
An investigation was carried out with the assistance of health visitors in Division
9 to estimate the relative importance of school contact, home contact, and other
forms of contact in the spread of whooping cough.
The sample investigated included 272 children in three age groups (Table A).

Table A

AgeTotalJuly-Dec. 1950Jan.-July 1951
The Sample
0-4162 60%92 57%70 63%
5-14104 38%65 40%39 35%
over 156 2%4 3%2 2%
Total272161111
Notifications—London
0-465%63%67%
5-1433%35%31%
over 151%1%2%

Table B School Infection

AgePatient at infected schoolSibling at infected schoolTotal possible attributable to schoolAll cases
0-423739 24%162
5-14611071 68%104
over 151—16
AgePatient at infected schoolSibling at infected school develop'd wh.c.Total attributable to schoolAll cases
0-421315 9%162
5-1461364 61%104
0-4 July-December, 19508%
0-4 January-July, 195111%
5-14 July-December, 195058%
5-14 January-July, 195166%

Compared with the total notifications from the whole of London during the same
period the sample contained a slightly smaller proportion of children under five.
The percentage of under-fives was higher in the latter half of the epidemic than in
the first half, and this was found in both the total notifications and the sample.
Table B shows the possible effect of school contact in the infection of the
cases in the sample. If transmission of infection from school to home by healthy
intermediaries were excluded it would be seen that school infection could not have
been responsible for more than 9 per cent. of the cases in children under the age of