London's Pulse: Medical Officer of Health reports 1848-1972

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London County Council 1925

[Report of the Medical Officer of Health for London County Council]

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The table on page 37 shows that there are several instances in which the hypothesis fails, but with the reservation which thus attaches to any particular forecast it may be noted that a prevalence of influenza is indicated about the end of 1926.

Registration year (52 or 53* weeks).Week of influenza prevalence with maximum mortality.Interval from middle of week of maximum mortality.Expected interval to next maximum.Difference be tween actual and expected interval.†Registration year. (52 or 53* weeks).Week of influenza prevalence with maximum mortalityInterval from middle of week of maximum mortality.Expected interval to next maximum.Duterence between actual and expected interval.†
To commencement of 35th week of year (weeks).To week of next maximum mortality (weeks)To commencement of 35th week of year (weeks).To week of next maximum mortality (weeks).
Column (3) 2.('olunn (4)-(5).Column (3) x oColumn (4) — (5).
(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)
18903rd31½6963+ 6190912th22½4645+ 1
1891*20th14½3629+ 719106th28½5457- 3
18923rd31½636301910(48th)
189314th20½3641- 519118th26½5253- 1
189450th36½6473- 919128th26½5653+ 3
1894No prevalence1913*12th22½4645+ 1
19145th29½5559- 4
189510th24½?19158th26½6153+ 8
1896*???_191617th17½35350
189716th18½4137+ 4191652nd34½8069+ 11
18985th29½5859- 11917No prevalence
189911th23½4347- 4
19002nd32½6065- 51918*28th1613+ 3
190110th24½5049+ 1191844th43½7387- 14
1902*8th26½4853- 51919(9th)
19033rd31½5963- 4192012th22½5345+ 8
190410th24½49490192113th21½4143– 2
1904(50th)19222nd32½6465- 1
19057 th27½6155+ 6192314th20½4541+ 4
190616th18½373701924*7th27½5255- 3
19071st33½6067- 719256th28½6057+ 3
1908*9th25 ½5651+ 5192614th20½?41?

† Plus=Forecast too early)
Minus=Forecast too late) by the number of weeks shown in column 6.
Typhoid, Fever.
There were 395 cases of typhoid fever notified in London in 1925 (52 weeks)
as compared with 410 in 1924 (53 weeks). The deaths in the calendar year
numbered 49 as against 53 in 1924. Of the cases admitted to the Metropolitan
Asylums Board hospitals the diagnosis of typhoid fever (including continued fever)
was not confirmed in 31.2 per cent., the corresponding percentage for 1924 being 25.7.
In 24 instances two or more than two cases were notified from one house, as
compared with 27 in 1924. Four of these 24 groups of cases were associated with
an outbreak in the Croydon area attributed to infected food, there being one instance
of 7 cases in one house, one of 5 cases and two of 4 cases. In the remaining 20 groups
there were four instances of 3 cases in one house, one of these being in the area of
an outbreak in Streatham attributed to infected milk.

diagnoses. The following is an analysis of the returns, the corresponding figures for the two preceding years being also shown for the purpose of comparison:—

Bacteriological diagnosis.1925.1924.1923.
TyphoidB. typhosus2961488493123
" Typhoid "323630
ParatyphoidA1126262282
B713142
A and B2311
Undefined522627
Total number of cases in which information was received181141196
Cases returned as both typhoid and paratyphoid, and therefore included twice in abovo statement659