London's Pulse: Medical Officer of Health reports 1848-1972

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London County Council 1894

[Report of the Medical Officer of Health for London County Council]

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29
An examination of the statistics relating to diphtheria shows that the case mortality of
diphtheria is subject to similar seasonal variations. Tables for this purpose have been prepared in the
same manner as those relating to scarlatina, namely, to the notifications of each month are applied the
deaths registered in a month beginning a week later. The following figures are in this manner obtained.
The rates of 1891-94 are obviously more reliable, inasmuch as they are calculated on larger figures.

Diphtheria, 1894.

Oases.Deaths.Case mortality per cent.Mean case mortality taken as 100.
January1,10227625.05107
February82620825.18108
March79422328.09120
April92422123.92102
May1,10021919.9185
June83218622.3695
July83018722.5396
August95523324.40104
September90023926.56113
October1,21625821.2291
November92019921.6392
December79117221.7493
1891-94.
Cases.Deaths.Case mortality per cent.Mean case mortality taken as 100.
January2,57765625.46110
February2,45862125.26109
March2,63368425.98113
April2,69163423.56102
May3,20069621.7594
June3,11170322.6098
July3,15870622.3697
August3,52880422.7999
September4,00187021.7494
October4,33788920.5089
November4,18995922.8999
December3,25281925.18109

It will be seen from these tables that the seasonal variations in the case mortality of diphtheria,
although proportionately less than the seasonal variations shown in the case mortality of scarlet fever,
are yet of a character sufficiently marked to suggest some definite cause or causes for their occurrence.
With a view to ascertaining whether the age and sex distribution of the cases notified is
responsible in any degree for the differences exhibited by the figures, I have selected the three months
of 31 arch, May and October, in the year 1894, for comparison in this respect. The following table
shows the actual age and sex distribution of the cases notified in each of these three months with the
deaths in each instance, which would have occurred had the case mortality for each age and sex been
the same in each of the three months as for the whole year 1894.

Diphtheria in March, May awl October, 1894.

Age period. •March, 1894.May, 1894.October, 1894.
Males.Females.Males.Females.Males.Females.
Cases.Estimated deaths.Cases.Estimated deaths.Cases.Estimated deaths.Cases.Estimated deaths.Cases.Estimated deaths.Cases.Estimated deaths.
All ages.36995.27425101.31507124.91593133.6355914383657144.33
0—126.7295.25179.52137.582212.32127.00
1—2414.282414.062917.263822.274124.403218.75
2—3415.103618.184821.3140 .20.204620.425326.77
3—4719044516.885421.875821.756225115018.75
4—4714.813813.875617.644516435818.274917.89
5—9417.3912426.7815027.7516435.4218834.7820644.50
10—534.45483.02584.87825.17534.45905.67
15 —16.6223.67331.2934.9925.98371.07
20—17.7720.5014.634210517.7745113
25—13.3134.9925.60451.3135.84511.48
35—5.3214.451811520.647.4518.58
45—51.066.222.427.263.6411.41
55 and upwards.2.404.443.605.562.403.33