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Arabia, not far from Egypt, and that then also we
escaped. Our experience therefore in this matter
???s contradictory, and the only legitimate inference
we can derive from it is that, while there is a
distinct danger that the disease may be imported,
there is a reasonable hope that we shall escape.
2nd. Supposing Cholera is introduced what
course will it take ? In this respect again our
experience of the disease is limited; and we are
not justified therefore in asserting that future
epidemics shall take the same course as former
epidemics. Hitherto (as I have already pointed
out) whenever Cholera has appeared in this country,
there have been a few local outbreaks in the latter
part of the first year, the disease has died out in
the winter, and in the following later spring, summer,
or autumn, there has been a severe prevalence
of the disease, lasting for about a couple of months.
If the same course should be taken by the threatened
epidemic, we may expect a few small outbreaks
of the disease either in the autumn of this year or
in that of next year, and in the following summer
a more or less violent epidemic.
3rd. If Cholera should become epidemic in
London to what extent will London suffer ? My
belief is that it will not be severe in London, that