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37
Assuming that Camberwell, and its several sub-districts,
have each increased annually since 1861 at the same rate at
which they each increased annually between 1851 and 1861 :
the population of the whole parish was in the middle of 1870
about 91,626, that of Dulwich about 1,811, that of Camberwell
about 25,209, that of Peckham about 39,586, and
that of St. George's about 25,579. Again, assuming that
the birth-rate is constant, and at 3.314 to every hundred
persons living, and basing our estimate of the population
on the number of children born during the year, the population
of the parish was, in the middle of 1870, 112,836,
that of Dulwich was 1,811, that of Camberwell 30,359, that
of Peckham 42,943, and that of St. George's 37,723.
According to the former series of estimates, the death-rate
of the parish was 2.578 per cent., that of Dulwich 2.87, that
of Camberwell 2.407, that of Peckham 2.379, and that of
St. George's 2.957. According to the latter series, the
death-rate of the parish was 2.09, that of Dulwich 2.87, that
of Camberwell 2.00, that of Peckham 2.19, and that of St.
George's 2.02.
Now it is obvious that the above series of results differ very
widely, and that they cannot both, and probably are neither
of them, correct; and I may add, that the estimates for
Dulwich, which alone coincide, are probably the most inaccurate
of all. The fact is, we know positively that the
parish, neither as a whole nor in its parts, has been increasing
uniformly, or according to any ascertainable rule; and we
know also that, although the birth-rate may remain uniform
for a very extensive area and a very large population, that
general uniformity is made up of probably as many special