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2
North and South Poplar (for purposes of statistics) are those
portions of the parish respectively North and South of the Northern
bridges of the West India Dock. Bromley is divided by the Limehouse
Canal into North and South. Each of the above divisions
also constitutes a district allotted to a Sanitary Inspector.
As the parishes of Poplar and Bromley form part of the Metropolis,
and their boundaries are clearly defined, and their various statistics
are compared with those of other Metropolitan parishes and with
the Metropolis itself, I do not estimate their populations by means
of logarithms, which I consider ought only to be used in estimating
the populations of a locality, the area of which is not built over but
has an extending nucleus.
I estimate the above populations by taking the actual census of
1881 and the same of 1891, and calculating these per million to the
actual population of the Metropolis for those years. This will show
the proportion of the rate of change in ten years, which of course may
be either an increase or decrease. Assuming this rate of change to
be maintained for the ensuing ten years, multiply the rate of
change by the number of years and one quarter (as the Registrar
General makes his statistics up to the middle of the year, and the
census it will be remembered is taken at the end of the first quarter)
and this will give the rate of change for the year from the census
under observation. Either subtract or add this rate of change
(according as to whether there was found to be a decrease or increase
per million in 1891) from the figure ascertained to be per million of
the population of the Metropolis for the year 1891, and proportion
the "remainder" or "sum" (as the case may be) to the estimated population
of the Metropolis for the year under observation. As there is
to be a quinquennial census for the Metropolitan sanitary areas during
the year 1896, I shall be able to correct the figures obtained by this
means of calculation.
The births during the 52 weeks were:—