London's Pulse: Medical Officer of Health reports 1848-1972

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Paddington 1923

[Report of the Medical Officer of Health for Paddington, Metropolitan Borough of]

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2 POPULATION.
The numbers of those living outside the Borough who gave addresses of workplaces within the
Borough were—males, 16,421 ; females, 6,660, the excess employment outside Paddington being—
males 8,634; females, 5,195, or a total of 13,829 persons equal to 9-6 per cent, of the total population
(144,261) persons. Of the total of 36,910 persons enumerated as residing in the Borough but
definitely reported as working outside, 31,297 were employed within the County of London, 3,733
in Middlesex, 200 in Surrey, 173 in Essex, 875 in other parts of England and Wales and 632 outside
the United Kingdom. Paddington residents employed in the City of London numbered 5,000 persons.
The daily exchange of workers between this Borough and the districts immediately adjacent thereto
was as follows:—
With reference to Paddington.
Outwards. Inwards.
Kensington 2,844 4,459
Hammersmith 1,038 1,452
Willesden 2,083 3,930
Hampstead 983 541
St. Marylebone 7,245 1,863
Westminster 7,667 314
Note.—To be read thus 2,844 go to Kensington and 4,459 come from that Borough.
The foregoing figures indicate that 21,860 persons go into the adjacent districts for their daily work
and 12,559 come thence into the Borough, the outward movement being nearly 75 per cent. greater
than the inward.
The "day" population, as determined by the excess of workers entering daily for purposes of
work over those going beyond the boundaries for that purpose, exceeded the night (census) population
in each of 13 of the 29 cities and boroughs within the County of London. The most notable excesses
were found in the City of London, where the day population was 2,935 per cent, of that of the night,
Holborn (128 per cent.), and Westminster (164). It is somewhat surprising to find that there was an
excess of the daily inward migration over the outward in Kensington, the excess being equivalent to
3-9 per cent, of the enumerated population.
Estimated Population.—The Registrar-General's estimate of the population at the middle of 1921
was 145,600 persons—the Census total being 144,261—that for 1922, 145,300, and that for 1923,
146,200. During the decennium 1911-21 the population increased by 1,710 persons, equivalent to
1.2 per cent, of the 1911 total, whereas the latest estimate shows an increase of 1,939 persons above
the total for the 1921 Census, equivalent to an increase of 1.3 per cent.
Assuming that the composition of the population has remained unchanged since the last Census,
the estimated numbers of males and females (all ages) at the middle of 1923 are: Males, 61,404 (an
increase of 913); females, 84,796 (an increase of 1,026). The estimated increases in the populations of
the Wards are comparatively insignificant, ranging from 26 in Lancaster Gate East, to 412 in Harrow
Road. With such small changes it has not been thought necessary to calculate any estimates of the
numbers of individuals in the usual sex-age groups. For the purposes of this Report the actual
changes in the numbers of births, deaths, etc., recorded adequately fulfil the function of mortality and
other rates, and will do so so long as the population remains practically stationary.
It is difficult to understand why the estimate for 1922 should show a decrease of 300 from that for
1921, and be followed by an increase of 900 in the succeeding 12 months. The Registrar-General
states that his estimates are "based on the adjusted figures for 1921, after allowance for the varying
rate of natural increase as evidenced by the births and deaths in each area and of migration as indicated
from other sources such as the changes in the numbers on the Parliamentary Register and the
migration returns obtained from the Board of Trade. . No information is available locally on
the last point, there being no data of internal migration (i.e., within the United Kingdom), but the
following figures relating to natural increase and the numbers on the local Parliamentary Register are
of interest. Between July 1st, 1921, and June 30th, 1922, the births registered numbered 2,915 and
the deaths 1,936—after making all necessary corrections. For the corresponding period of 1922-23
the figures were 2,664 and 1,709 respectively. Thus the natural increment for 1921-22 was 979 persons,
and that for 1922-23, 955. Comparing the local Parliamentary Registers (Autumn Lists) for 1921 and
1922, an increase of 237 persons (106 males, 131 females) is disclosed, similar comparison for 1922 and
1923 showing an increase of 1,195 persons (males, 459; females, 736). The total natural increase for
the two years 1921-23 was 1.3 per cent. and that in the total number on the Parliamentary Register
1.9—very good approximations to the growth indicated by the last estimate calculated by the Registrar-General.
One other figure may be mentioned in this connection, viz., the increase in the number
of "effective" assessments, i.e., the number on which rates are paid. That number, as returned at
June 30th, 1923, was 21,339, as compared with 21,180 on the same date in 1921, showing an increase of
0.7 per cent.